It was only a matter of time before it happened, but someone finally leaked the internal polling from the Trump-Vance campaign. Kamala Harris and the Democrat Party have good reasons to be worried. I’ve been covering politics since the Clinton administration and I’ve never seen a Republican ticket performing this well just a month before the election. Kamala Harris doesn’t even have a message to share with voters and her most ardent supporters are panicking about this.
I’m guessing that the internal polling data from the Trump campaign has been floating around for a while now. The overseas betting markets are favoring Trump 55-45 over Harris. Things wouldn’t be that skewed unless some people have insider information that favors a Trump victory.
The latest poll from Tony Fabrizio and John McLaughlin was conducted between October 6 and 9. It shows President Trump ahead in every swing state, which translates to a 312 electoral vote blowout, which is eight better than he scored in 2016 against Crooked Hillary.
In Georgia, Trump now leads Harris 50-45 (+5). That tracks with what we’ve been saying for months. The Georgia State Election Board has implemented so many new election integrity rules for this year that the Biden campaign abandoned the state back in June. They realized there was no point in spending resources there if they can’t have a Fulton County repeat of 2020.
Trump leads Harris 49-46 in Arizona and 50-47 in Nevada (+3).
In Nevada, the state was forced to purge more than 90,000 voters who were inactive, dead, or who moved away. That happened after a court order in August. Joe Biden “won” Nevada by about 33,000 votes after 15 of the state’s 17 counties had more ballots than the number of registered voters. Without those 90,000 fake mail-in votes to inject into the system this time, Trump looks solidly poised to win Nevada.
If you’re doubting the Arizona lead, the internal polling shows that Trump’s support among Hispanic male voters in the state has increased by +15 over 2020.
In the remaining swing states of Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Trump leads Harris by +1 in the internal polling. It looks like it will be a squeaker in those states, but keep in mind that Trump always outperforms the polls—no matter who is doing the polling—by about +3. That means he could be up by +8 in Georgia, +6 in Arizona and Nevada, and +4 in the rest of the swing states.
Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D) is running for US Senate in Michigan. She told wealthy donors on a Zoom call last month that all the internal polling shows Kamala Harris underwater there. Slotkin seems well-positioned to win her Senate race, but she told the donors not to get their hopes up for Kamala. Sounds like their internal polling has Harris in worse shape than Trump’s internals.
Another thing that’s become clear is that many of the Democrats who are not running for president have turned into a bunch of junior high mean girls who are trying to sabotage Harris. Joe Biden was furious that his own party ousted him in a coup back in July, so he nominated Kamala to be his replacement as a double-barreled middle finger to Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi. Hillary Clinton wanted to be the first woman president and you know she’s furious that it could turn out to be Kamala.
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) wanted to be Biden’s replacement in the coup, but she was passed over—and she’s obviously mad about it. She’s also been publicly saying Harris is doing badly in the Dems’ internal polling in her state.
Whitmer decided to step in and “help” Kamala this week by posting a bizarre lesbian dominatrix video on social media that makes a mockery of communion and wearing a Harris-Walz hat:
Why would Kamala’s top surrogate Democrat Gov. Gretchen Whitmer put out a video that looks like she’s sexually mocking the Eucharist with Doritos?
Would even the vague appearance of mockery of any other faith get past a bureaucracy of staffers?
They hate you. It’s clear. pic.twitter.com/u0Qz5r2Wtl
— Danny De Urbina (@dannydeurbina) October 10, 2024
I thought the person on their knees was one of those transgender dudes until someone reported that he or she or they is the leader of the “Hotties for Harris” social media influencers.
That’s… that’s the leader of their hotties?
Anyway…
If this is considered “helping” Kamala Harris then it’s obvious that many in her own party don’t want her to win.